Integrated Circuits for TV in the Digital Decade
|Author(s):||William M. Webster|
|Publisher:||Society of Motion Picture and Television Engineers|
|Publication Date:||1 February 1980|
|Conference Location:||Toronto, ON, Canada|
|Conference Date:||1 February 1980|
|Page(s):||7 - 11|
Forecasting the events of the Digital Decade to come is a risky business but very worthwhile to attempt. It's risky because there can be quantum jumps in technology at any time. For example, at the time the transistor was invented everyone expected the continued evolution of vacuum tubes and few, if any, foresaw solidstate circuitry. The best that a forecaster can do is acknowledge that such surprises are possible and then use existing facts and trands to build up a surprise-free forecast that is not too conservative.